Tuesday, August 12, 2008

Tied In Who’s Polls



Crooks and Liars » Senator Akaka slams Cokie Roberts

Cokie Roberts’ comments Barack Obama is tied with John McCain sparked a ongoing concern for bias polling. I have made several comments asserting bias in Gallup and Rasmussen polls. Here is a chance to make another. First off, why does so many media commentators use Gallup and Rasmussen polls to make their “its a close race” comments? Take another look at the history of polling for president this year; this time exclude Gallup and Rasmussen polls.

What you will discover is without Gallup and Rasmussen low numbers for Barack Obama, the polling picture would look different, by at least four points. I have followed this polling bias with much anger. The MSM uses Gallup and Rasmussen polls as if they were made for them. Upon closer inspection, you can clearly see Gallup and Rasmussen daily tracking polls are being used as a valve. When other polls release polls with a 5 point or better lead for Obama, Gallup and Rasmussen adjust to what numbers will keep McCain close to Obama. RealClearPolitics’ assemblage of polls document a everyday bias for John McCain. As I comment, todays polling display represent an attempt to wash out higher numbers, so Gallup and Rasmussen polls will have a stronger effect.

There is support for my assertion Gallup and Rasmussen polls are bias. Because every commentator using the noted polls are conservative in delivery of news, It is a hard thing to counter. However, someone can say to them: THERE ARE MORE POLLS OUT THERE THEN JUST GALLUP AND RASMUSSEN.

Joseph

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